Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.152580 3.784062 4.490940 5.338132 6.323017 7.428892 8.761520
2025-06-01 2.233878 3.030164 4.017477 5.320410 6.981979 9.016218 11.679551
2025-06-08 1.694235 2.550035 3.706024 5.356640 7.623188 10.592238 14.734699
2025-06-15 1.318560 2.176603 3.425949 5.334808 8.124499 11.989201 17.668092
2025-06-22 0.995035 1.793463 3.040974 5.069980 8.207849 12.777953 19.807563
2025-06-29 0.806416 1.573007 2.848243 5.038848 8.595746 14.001117 22.641041
2025-07-06 0.661549 1.390869 2.677572 5.002438 8.948869 15.180527 25.488586
2025-07-13 0.599431 1.343100 2.721603 5.319027 9.891820 17.340799 30.007353
2025-07-20 0.527740 1.260252 2.686276 5.486008 10.592355 19.163092 34.126100
2025-07-27 0.479437 1.214002 2.709352 5.756061 11.491080 21.375408 39.036118
2025-08-03 0.410524 1.107562 2.596149 5.750731 11.889114 22.764893 42.668970
2025-08-10 0.335174 0.968256 2.391180 5.534385 11.866349 23.410773 45.066808
2025-08-17 0.267772 0.832561 2.172942 5.265848 11.725254 23.854782 47.191294
2025-08-24 0.228535 0.758859 2.079487 5.245343 12.066813 25.205099 51.033979
2025-08-31 0.198594 0.702465 2.016017 5.280134 12.521331 26.799518 55.433211
2025-09-07 0.170313 0.642827 1.933327 5.258253 12.851962 28.177764 59.520543
2025-09-14 0.136221 0.554551 1.760044 4.996683 12.635577 28.460172 61.537821
2025-09-21 0.116788 0.507649 1.686962 4.965914 12.921138 29.763607 65.612555
2025-09-28 0.100110 0.464739 1.616282 4.929958 13.188691 31.046423 69.726296
2025-10-05 0.096017 0.467010 1.676823 5.242516 14.296352 34.159550 77.701573
2025-10-12 0.087992 0.451633 1.681783 5.407382 15.068263 36.611953 84.475600
2025-10-19 0.083199 0.447906 1.722138 5.674033 16.110576 39.714621 92.765346
2025-10-26 0.072692 0.416339 1.667860 5.668770 16.482223 41.377914 98.150534